“Can we spend another $50,000 a year on travel?”
For someone with substantial savings, that can be surprisingly difficult to answer. The money may be there, but so are competing concerns: market declines, future healthcare expenses, taxes, helping children, and leaving something behind.
A portfolio balance provides a starting point. A useful spending decision requires understanding what that portfolio needs to accomplish, when the money will be needed, and how much flexibility you have if circumstances change.
The first step is to separate spending into a few practical categories:
- Essential expenses: Housing, food, insurance, healthcare, and other commitments you need to maintain.
- Flexible expenses: Travel, entertainment, discretionary purchases, and other spending you could adjust.
- Major purchases and gifts: A second home, renovations, a child’s down payment, or a substantial family gift.
- Future needs: Potential care expenses, financial support for family members, and other obligations that may develop later.
These categories create different demands on your money. A $100,000 renovation is a one-time withdrawal. An additional $100,000 of annual spending creates a recurring commitment that may rise with inflation and continue for decades.
Even a one-time purchase can create ongoing costs. A second home brings property taxes, insurance, maintenance, and possibly additional travel. Those expenses belong in the decision from the beginning.
Next, determine how much of your spending must come from investments. Social Security, pensions, rental income after expenses, and other sources may cover part of the household budget. The remaining amount is the gap your portfolio needs to fund.
Taxes belong in this calculation. Traditional IRA withdrawals are generally taxable, except to the extent they represent a return of after-tax basis. In a taxable investment account, selling an investment generally creates a gain or loss based on the difference between the proceeds and its adjusted tax basis. The account you use and the investments you sell can affect how much must leave the portfolio to support a purchase.
It also helps to distinguish portfolio income from spending capacity. Interest and dividends can contribute to cash flow, but a withdrawal plan may also include planned investment sales. Evaluating the portfolio’s total return allows spending decisions to account for both income and changes in investment value.
A standard withdrawal percentage can only take you so far. Two households with the same portfolio value may have very different spending capacity because their ages, income sources, taxes, family commitments, and goals differ.
A useful analysis should answer several questions:
- How long might the portfolio need to support you and anyone who depends on you?
- What spending is already committed, and what could be adjusted?
- How much should be reserved for major purchases or foreseeable tax payments?
- What assumptions are being made about returns, inflation, and investment costs?
- How much would you like to preserve for family or charity?
- What happens if the first several years are more difficult than expected?
That last question deserves particular attention.
When you are taking withdrawals, the order of investment returns matters. A substantial decline early in retirement can be especially damaging if you must sell investments at depressed prices to cover spending. Fewer dollars remain invested to participate in a recovery.
Keeping money for near-term expenses in appropriate cash or relatively stable investments can reduce the need to sell stocks during a difficult period. The amount should reflect your spending needs, other income, and portfolio structure.
The analysis should also consider prolonged market weakness, higher inflation, unexpected expenses, and a longer life. Projections depend on assumptions and cannot guarantee results.
A practical spending plan establishes when you would make adjustments.
For example, you might decide that discretionary spending receives a closer review after a significant portfolio decline. A major gift could depend on whether the plan still supports your own needs afterward. A strong period for investments might create room for additional travel without committing you to permanently higher annual spending.
Setting those expectations beforehand gives you a framework for adjusting withdrawals as circumstances change. The flexibility should reflect what you would realistically be willing to change.
Confidence also requires revisiting the plan. Investment values move, family circumstances change, and your priorities evolve. A spending level that made sense five years ago may deserve another look today.
At Bishop Capital Advisors, we connect spending decisions with portfolio construction, cash management, and tax considerations. We evaluate a purchase or lifestyle change within the context of the client’s full financial picture, coordinating with their tax advisor where appropriate.
If you are considering more travel, a major purchase, or helping your children, a useful next step is to model that specific decision: what it costs now, what it commits you to later, and what flexibility remains afterward.
This article is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute personalized investment, tax, or legal advice, or an offer to buy or sell any security. The strategies discussed may not be appropriate for everyone. Investing involves risk, including possible loss of principal. Tax laws and regulations are subject to change, and their application depends on individual circumstances. Consult your investment advisor, tax professional, or attorney, as appropriate, before implementing a strategy. Examples and tax assumptions are hypothetical and provided solely for illustration. Actual costs, taxes, and outcomes will vary based on individual circumstances.